updating my priors
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Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Reactions

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Meanwhile the Engineers are just lighting themselves on fire to see what happens.


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jsled
6 hours ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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Trump, Musk clash over who deserves more credit for betraying Ukraine

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WASHINGTON D.C. – President Donald Trump and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk are reportedly feuding once again as each demands full accolades for giving the order to throttle Starlink usage for Ukrainian forces as they fight to repel Russian invaders. “No one could have come up with the genius plan to stab Ukraine and Zelensky in […]

The post Trump, Musk clash over who deserves more credit for betraying Ukraine appeared first on The Beaverton.



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jsled
1 day ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Chip

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Actually maybe this is the solution to the Fermi Paradox.


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jsled
1 day ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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Against Taking My Son To Soccer Practice: A Bayesian, Longtermist, Updateless, Game-Theoretic, Kelly-Optimal Steelman of the Opportunity Cost of Reallocating My Son’s College Fund, My Ex-Wife’s Child Support, and the Proceeds of My Second Divorce Toward Methamphetamine, Escorts, Polymarket Positions, Grandma’s Pain Pills, and an Acausal Trade With Roko’s Basilisk Under Coherent Extrapolated Volition, Short Timelines, and a p(doom) I Will Not Be Updating at This Time (Part 1 of 7)

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Expected value. Expected value expected value. Ketamine, Kelly criterion, child support. Roko’s basilisk; Adderall; girlfriend. Shut up and multiply. Escorts. Expected value.
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jsled
4 days ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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The People Holding Up the Internet. Amazing to see how...

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The People Holding Up the Internet. Amazing to see how much of the modern internet still depends on the volunteer work of individual people. 4 billion phones rely on the time zone database, a text file edited by just two people in their spare time.

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jsled
5 days ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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Overdose Offsets: Why Every Bag of Fentanyl I Sell Is Net Life-Positive

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I sell fentanyl six days a week under the El at Kensington and Somerset, and every bag I sell is net life-positive. Each bag carries a small but real chance of killing whoever buys it. Each bag also sends $1.80 to the Against Malaria Foundation, which GiveWell estimates saves a child’s life for about $5,500. My customers die at a rate of roughly one per 4,000 bags. Four thousand bags at $1.80 buys nets for 1.3 children. Every death on my corner is offset, with a third of a toddler left over, and I’d like that number in the conversation the next time somebody calls me a murderer out the window of a passing Kia.
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jsled
5 days ago
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South Burlington, Vermont
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